[Thud]

IMO the ascending death numbers, per week, won't peak until July. You should incorporate a 30-day lag period for the cycle of exposure to infection to hospitalization to death.

Even the currently exposed need at least 15 days from infection to death.

"I am expecting the death numbers to be steadily increasing right up to Easter."

[calenel]

The numbers of deaths won’t determine when Opening Day is. The number of new cases being found will.