[semantic]

Both Italy and US daily CV fatalities dropped from the day before. Anomaly (most likely) or true peaks?

For finance/numbers people, drop me a PM if you want a link to the native sheet. It's pretty easy to run all kinds of projections based on different input assumptions. For example, what is the growth rate required for US to hit 25k deaths within 4 weeks, etc.

You can also experiment with relationships to infections, symptoms, hospitalization, ICU and deaths. That is, if you think 5% of ICU patients succumb, then you would need 20x ICU beds per death. Run that and compare to existing and coming on-line capacity.

[mrsmith]

Deaths may ne being lowered by effecti9ve treatment. Early to say though.

Interestingly if you move the two graphs so they match at this time, it requires, shows, a much earlier outbreak in Italy than assumed.