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To: scouter

Just for the record, the CFR is ALWAYS calculated using ONLY closed cases, like you have done.

There are several flubros out there that are adamant in denying that that is the case, ignoring evidence and logic contrary to their position (you know, like AGW alarmists do).

So I asked a contact, a doctor that is somewhere in the mid-levels dealing with this (not on the front lines, not one of the guys you see on TV) and he confirmed, instantaneously when I asked, that CFR only includes resolved cases. This is from a professional in the field who is not a scrub or a gumby.

That may not seem like a big deal, since the instantaneous CFR doesn’t really mean much in the long run, but the FReepers in question will no doubt continue to misrepresent the stats to advance their flubro narrative.

I would suggest that the Iranian numbers are also bogus. And Spain is indeed on the verge of being overwhelmed if they don’t reallocate resources properly. France not far behind. We have our own problems in NY (supposedly getting better, though) and LA. We need to allocate resources there as well (LA).


258 posted on 03/21/2020 5:59:13 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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To: calenel

Case fatality rate or CFR is irrelevant. What matters is the percentage of people who die who are infected - much less than 1% due to the asymptomatic people.


297 posted on 03/21/2020 6:55:08 PM PDT by impimp
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