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To: smileyface

From test done in China...

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32133832

“Results: When the infection rate of the close contacts and the sensitivity and specificity of reported results were taken as the point estimates, the positive predictive value of the active screening was only 19.67%, in contrast, the false-positive rate of positive results was 80.33%. The multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analysis results supported the base-case findings, with a 75% probability for the false-positive rate of positive results over 47%. “


1,094 posted on 03/23/2020 1:04:39 PM PDT by smileyface (I LOVE POTUS DONALD J. TRUMP!)
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To: smileyface
“Results: When the infection rate of the close contacts and the sensitivity and specificity of reported results were taken as the point estimates, the positive predictive value of the active screening was only 19.67%, in contrast, the false-positive rate of positive results was 80.33%. The multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analysis results supported the base-case findings, with a 75% probability for the false-positive rate of positive results over 47%. “

For those that didn't get this (myself included) the conclusing posted at the link is easier to understand:

Conclusions: In the close contacts of COVID-19 patients, nearly half or even more of the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' reported in the active nucleic acid test screening might be false positives.

1,097 posted on 03/23/2020 1:14:23 PM PDT by TruthWillWin
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