So what we consistently see is an absolute maximum of 20% positive tests. In other regions globally its as low as 5%. So the insanity of say the governor of California saying that 55% of California is infected next week just does not hold any water.
World wide there are only 250,000 cases
Therefore this is highly contagious and there are millions of undetected cases. So this virus is just not that big of a deal
OR
The virus simply does not spread all that efficiently and only penetrates a very small part of any population
There literally is no door #3. And both of these postulates would be excellent news. It would literally turn on its head the insanity of all of this virtual martial law and allow us to get back to normal.
What is needed is a good estimated death rate per estimated infection rate, and the age and condition of fatalities. And the And what the long term effects will be relative to quarantines versus sunshine and fresh air, even for those with Covid-19. And the long term effects of the safe mode/ shutdown the economy and increase welfare recourse.
Meaning if the mortality rate is very low except for seniors and or those with serious medical conditions then warrant is lacking for operating in safe mode, and likely more harm will result from that rather than getting back to normality, and letting the virus run its course, while safe guarding seniors and or those with serious medical conditions.
There is another possible explanation of the data, which is also excellent news.
The time we had in the USA before large scale transmission began to occur allowed more knowledge of treatment techniques to disseminate and be put into use.
Our doctors have the advantage of results learned the hard way in China, France, Italy, Korea and Japan. It may well be that some of those treatment techniques are driving down the fatality rate.
The rapid dissemination of research papers built upon the incredible technology of the internet has enabled that. The doctors in the USA that I know are very adept at incorporating new methods into their practice.