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To: LilFarmer

If my math is correct that is .018 mortality rate.


548 posted on 03/18/2020 6:07:06 PM PDT by TermLimits4All (A coup on the people's President, will result in bloodshed. Be prepared always.)
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To: TermLimits4All

We will see in a few weeks. I figure 2-3 weeks in the hospital for many of the 65 and under cases (which appear to be the majority of cases in most states).


561 posted on 03/18/2020 6:17:11 PM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: TermLimits4All
Your premise is incorrect. Todays infections will not complete their course for at least 14 days. As long as hospital surge capacity is available, we will be lucky to keep the case fatality at 1.0.

People who become infected don't die the same day. The growth of deaths will follow the same exponential increase as infection.

This has been discussed many times in previous threads. From The Lancet:

Real estimates of mortality following COVID-19 infection.
616 posted on 03/18/2020 6:54:06 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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