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RE: we are going to learn that the Wuhan virus is about as deadly as the generic flu.

I believe this as well. Here’s the question -— IS IT MORE INFECTIOUS/CONTAGIOUS/TRANMISSIVE?

All indicators tell us that compared to the generic flu, it is.

It seems to be more infectious, but we don't have the necessary data to make that assumption. The real question is how much more of a burden will the Wuhan virus place on our healthcare system. Right now, it appears that the elderly and others with lowered immune systems and underlying conditions are more vulnerable and are more likely to require hospitalization. But that is also the case with the generic flu. The rest of the population, including children, seem to be able to endure the virus and recover at home.

China and South Korea appear to be plateauing and even decreasing in terms of new cases and deaths. Even Italy appears to have peaked. Is that a function of government policies or a natural course of the virus?

Germany now has the fifth largest number of cases, but its mortality rate is far less than France or Italy. Lots variables, which makes it difficult to project what will happen here.