“The strategy they are apparently following is best seen as a teenager learning how to drive:
—Hit the accelerator (no serious actions, virus infects 5% of the population).
—Slam on the brakes (we are here now)
—In a few months hit the accelerator (allowed time for hospitals to catch up, need to get the economy moving for a while)
—Slam on the brakes—again! Virus has infected another 10% of the population (several months pause)
—Hit the accelerator
—Slam on the brakes”
Wow, that’s intense, but there is something to it!
Obviously, having several chest freezers makes getting through it much easier - draw down during the lockdowns, refill during the ‘normal’ periods.
Bob:
I have been thinking about the best personal strategy with the “teenage driver” strategy in place.
Since I am retired I have the luxury of deciding on what to do.
My read is that I should wait until the current hysteria is over and stores get nice and calm, and then restock (maybe late April?).
Once the accelerator is hit (June, July) everybody will be out there infecting everybody else. Then we get to listen to “we got through it”, “Trump saved us”. If you can, you really want to be in deep hibernation at that point.