[chaosagent]

...Common flu Death rate per the total infected is 0.1%. Projected infected to death rate of covid-19 is 1%. Ten times common flu. The issues are math.

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Is that ‘projected’ rate of 1% from the same Dr. in Ohio that said she ‘guesstimated’ that 100,000 people in Ohio have the WuFlu, when they only have 13 cases right now. So Ohio has 33 times more cases than the entire US.

According to WorldOmeter.com, we have 2982 cases in the US with 60 deaths. That’s 0.02, much smaller than the flu rate.

And H1N1 (Swine Flu) death rate is listed as being between 1% and 4% here.

https://www.medscape.com/answers/1807048-166823/what-are-the-mortality-rates-of-h1n1-influenza-swine-flu

So were you panicking 10 years ago?

Yes, it probably will rise, but the last I heard no one under 50 who had been infected had died.

[BillyCuccio]

Thank you ! another freeper with a brain who can think for themselves .

[Equine1952]

Apples and oranges dipstick. We know historical numbers on flu. Still testing and getting better numbers on covid-19. I’m 68 and panic is bullshit. I quit that back on the boats at test depth.

[TexasGator]

“According to WorldOmeter.com, we have 2982 cases in the US with 60 deaths. That’s 0.02, much smaller than the flu rate.”

0.02 is MUCH higher than 0.001

[Mariner]

“Is that ‘projected’ rate of 1% from the same Dr. in Ohio “

It’s an optomistic projection shared by our entire national leadership, except for those who think it’s going to be higher.

In some countries it’s running over 3%.

[zeestephen]

I agree that COVID-19 is not a crisis in the USA.

However - you blew the math.

60 divided by 2,982 is 2.0% - not 0.02%.

However - the USA is doing the smallest amount of infection testing compared to other medically advanced nations.

If we did mass testing like South Korea, our death rate would instantly go down - to 1.0% or less - because 99% of Americans are not infected.

[lepton]

Is that ‘projected’ rate of 1% from the same Dr. in Ohio that said she ‘guesstimated’ that 100,000 people in Ohio have the WuFlu, when they only have 13 cases right now.

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At the time it was 5. It was a complete misuse of a 2017 CDC document which discussed finding 2 community-spread cases meant to assume that 1% of the population was infected. It apparently didn’t occur to her to even consider whether the 2 cases were in the same ‘population’, and what the population was for the 1%. Even after that it is dubious, but at least there’s a tendril of sanity within those conditions (2 community-spread cases in the Italian Village area of Columbus, and another pair in the Firestone Park area in Akron, might mean that there could be 1% of the Italian Village area of Columbus, and 1% in the Firestone Park area of Akron, infected).

[lepton]

but the last I heard no one under 50 who had been infected had died.

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World-wide, that is certainly not the case.

In the US, it is unlikely, but with so few cases so far and so early in the infection curve the age distribution doesn’t have much statistical significance.