Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: Solson
China has lied about their numbers since the beginning.

Wonderful. Throw all the numbers out from China and Iran, then.

An apples-to-apples comparison is South Korea where the death rate in confirmed cases in 0.7.

366 posted on 03/13/2020 5:07:24 PM PDT by Kazan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 146 | View Replies ]


To: Kazan

The Wu Flu maniacs have consistently overestimated the impact of this bug on the US. There no factual basis to think that will change any time soon.


370 posted on 03/13/2020 5:13:11 PM PDT by lodi90
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 366 | View Replies ]

To: Kazan

South Korea is the most accurate dataset. And it shows 7x worse than the flu


373 posted on 03/13/2020 5:14:24 PM PDT by Solson (Trump 2020!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 366 | View Replies ]

To: Kazan
An apples-to-apples comparison is South Korea where the death rate in confirmed cases in 0.7.

Really? SK had a huge number of positive 10-13 days ago, padding their numbers. Those cases are now moving toward "resolving". In just 3 days, their CFR, or "death rate" as you call it, has crept up to 0.9% It will continue to rise, probably settling at 1.2% - 1.5%. We will only be like South Korea if the actions we are taking are effective and people listen to the advice they are getting.

412 posted on 03/13/2020 5:44:51 PM PDT by ETCM
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 366 | View Replies ]

To: Kazan

“An apples-to-apples comparison is South Korea where the death rate in confirmed cases in 0.7.”

Was, a few days back. Now up to 0.8% or so. The guy that was denying the numbers then claimed 99% of the remaining cases were mild (but provided no source). Wouldn’t accept that with the comprehensive testing and contact tracing that SK was doing that the 0.7% number could ONLY go up. Still true.

You can’t assume that all the unresolved cases will resolve favorably. The actual CFR is still over 11% - not the horrifying number it was a few days ago, but still pretty bad. Eventually the CFR and the DCR will converge, but because SK is doing such a thorough job it will be something higher than the current 0.8% the DCR stands at, now.

CFR - Case Fatality Rate = deaths/(deaths+recoveries)
DCR - Deaths to Cases Ratio = deaths/cases


721 posted on 03/13/2020 9:14:03 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 366 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson