Swine Flu was the mildest flu strain in recent history, with a CDC estimated CFR of 0.01-0.08. It was likely about 0.05, or about half of typical influenza. The only reason any attention at all was paid to Swine Flu was that it was killing young people rather than old. The best case predictions for COVID-19 are 1%+, 20X higher. Even South Korea is trending upward, and will exceed 1% in a few days.
As I said on another thread:
If COVID-19 were putting young people in ICU’s and coffins instead of old people, everyone would be screaming for MORE action. Except old folks, who could finally enjoy their lawn without a bunch of punk kids trampling it!
Yes, now that I’ve rethought my calculation, 18,000 deaths out of 60 million cases of H1N1 should be 0.03 percent, not 0.3 percent.