Who knows the flaw in the “over 70” plan?
.........
Here it is: While the elderly are much much more likely to die from CV than other folks, they are not _that_ much more likely to require hospitalization than other folks.
We need more data, but my quick estimate is that would only reduce hospitalizations by at most 25%.
That may seem like a lot, but the NHS will probably be overloaded by a factor of ten or more before this is over, so this is a true “hail mary”.
It is probably good for the over 70 folks as long as basic supplies are delivered to them somehow.
LA
State of Louisiana reports first COVID-19 related death
March 14, 2020
The State of Louisiana reports first death related to COVID-19. The Orleans Parish resident was a 58-year-old individual with underlying health conditions. The patient was being treated at Touro Infirmary Hospital and Medical Center.
“It is with heavy hearts that we announce the first Louisiana death related to COVID-19 today, said Gov. Edwards. I have spoken with Mayor LaToya Cantrell, and we send our prayers and condolences to the family of the deceased. In addition, we now have 10 new presumptive positive cases bringing our total to 77.
http://ldh.la.gov/index.cfm/newsroom/detail/5479