“not that complicated”
One the R0 was known to be between 2 and 4, and once aerosol transmission was known, everything else was easy to predict.
The average 3rd grader could have done it.
Of course, the only wild card is Social Isolation. That can substantially slow the R0 and even bring it below 1 and thus allowing the virus to die out.
Lock downs work. China is proof.
Now it’s just matter of will.
I am so tired of the flu bro’s.
I kind of hope they get sick. Not die...but sick.
I hope they go to the hospital and have to be housed on a conference room on a cot.
I know that’s not nice of me..,
We are a full two weeks behind—can’t catch up now..
Just math.
If Trump has to now self-quarantine because of that Brazilian, that is going to send a huge message to people.
China, as a totalitarian regime used its military to forcibly displace people in order to quarantine them. Are you suggesting the US do that - and how would they? Martial Law?