[cgbg]

John Hopkins prof article predicts tenfold case increase per week (not testing, actual cases)—Lookner
—
That is _much_ worse than the number I posted earlier—would mean 3M cases by end of month, 450K serious hospital cases.

If that happens head for the bunkers. :-(

[Fury]

John Hopkins prof article predicts tenfold case increase per week (not testing, actual cases)—Lookner

Is there a link for this tweet?

[scouter]

John Hopkins

It's Johns Hopkins, with the s in Johns. We in Baltimore are very touchy about that! LOL. There was a funny April Fools joke about it several years ago: Johns Hopkins Finally Drops the S.

[Mariner]

“John Hopkins prof article predicts tenfold case increase per week (not testing, actual cases)—Lookner”

The early numbers (we’re talking about late January) out of China said the R0 was 3.8. And incubation 5-7 days on average.

Try running your predictions with a 3.8x multiplier every 5 days. The numbers get very big very fast.

And the Johns Hopkins R0 appears to be even more aggressive.