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You are the definition of normalcy bias:

Things are the way they are. They are the way they have always been. And therefore, it will always be the same.

Until it isn’t.

All of the maladies that are probably going to kill you are already baked into the cake. 50,000 flu deaths happen every year. So, we staff for 50,000 flu deaths. And every other death type. We build hospitals to handle that. We have ICU beds to handle that. There is no slack in that system. At all.

Now, drop on top of that 20,000 more patients. Not infected people, but patients that need hospitalization in an ICU.

You guys look at this as if it is a black or white situation—either you get the flu or you get this new virus.

It is happening at the same time. It could cause a chokepoint in the system—thus overwhelming our healthcare system. Note: I am not saying millions of people. Tens of thousands will screw it up pretty bad.

The bigger issue is that the economic impact will be much larger. Most people are “shocked” by the flu deaths. They are ignorant of the status quo.

This will cause them to be hypersensitive about it—changing the way they live their day to day lives. That will have an impact on our economy. And a magnified one.

Now drop on top of all of THAT...we are still about five to six weeks from getting the supply chain back up from China. That will start impacting US factories in a larger way in the coming weeks.

None of this is hyperbole. None of it should be read with a tone of screaming, shrieking, or any other utterance except calm recitation of facts.

You and I probably will never get sick from this. The odds are certainly in our favor that we will not die.

But the odds are very good that we will feel an economic impact from it.

Its that simple.

We have a million hospital beds in the U.S. but only about 60-65,000 ventilators. These are NECESSARY to treat the serious COVID-19 cases where patients go into ARDS - respiratory distress as their lungs fill with fluid and they get no oxygen leading to death.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21149215

Hospitals are going to have to prioritize and decide who lives and dies.

The 15% death rate in South Korea (I believe NONE of the Chinese numbers and SK is giving us real info) for those over age 80 is based on complete and total treatment.

Death rate is 10% for those 70-80. Again, with full treatment because they have a limited number of cases.

Let’s suppose the following:

The spread is doubling every 6 days.

A million will be hospitalized within 6 months and we are still at least another 6 months out to a vaccine.

What will the death rate be for those requiring hospitalization (younger healthy people are 80-85% rate not requiring hospitalization) AFTER all of the ventilators are tied up?

That’s when this disease collapses the system basically and those in bad health or over a certain age are just told to stay home to die.

I have yet to hear a single YouTube expert go into the ventilator numbers yet. Please let them know.