I am amazed you have such faith in your stats since the virus has only been around for a few months yet we have years of stats on the flu.You must be completely clairvoyant to know what you know about a virus that has virtually no history.
BREAKING: Sources tell NY1 that a new case of the coronavirus has been confirmed in Far Rockaway. Stay with NY1 for more updates.
Did you not see the part where I specifically said its completely disingenuous to compare the two due to exactly the issue of time scale. There are hundreds of doctors with PHDS and M.D. working very hard to pin down what COVID19 actual fatality rate is. Those authorities who have the funding, data and research that no one NO ONE on any of these threads gets to see as in governmental level data have come out and said this bug with their level of data access has a 2 to 3.4% CFR don’t like those numbers take it up with the world’s foremost authority on viral transmission. I only point out that this bug has already proven so far to be many times more lethal than meh just flu. It also puts a good percentage in the intensive care unit where without access to respirators and pure O2 those people would die as well. This is important as has been pointed out time and time again there’s only limited icu beds when the system crashes and with an R0 of greater than 2 it is utterly inevitable that we will see hundreds of thousands sick in a few doubling times.
This also has been pointed out adnausum mathematically. Unless we do something drastic to break the chains of infection the healthcare system in this country will be overwhelmed in the next few weeks. Its simple grade school math, we do not have any cure nor.vaccine the only way to stop a virus with a positive replication rate is with removing available hosts. That can be done with isolation of the sick or isolation of the healthy but the two must be separated. The only other way is for the virus to run out of new hosts that happens at a penetration rate of 70+ percent infection as new hosts get harder and harder for the virus to find.
Preparation is a sure fire way to avoid panic. Having the supplies on hand to isolate and deprive the virus of new hosts is THE most effective way to break the chain of infection. China did this very effectively, Korea is doing it , Singapore should be the model they beat the bug only to now have cases coming in from countries they haven’t shut out. Social distancing WILL be mandatory for areas here that is an inevitably best be ready for it. The west coast specifically King county is first they will have lawful orders for mandatory isolation of the general public in a week or two.