Posted on 03/06/2020 12:19:11 PM PST by Vermont Lt
Again, glad to read your posts. Helps.
No way. More fun wrestling those cute soccer moms for packs of toilet paper at Costco.
/
Because of their policy of testing asymptomatic people, South Korea seems to be showing us that the virus is FAR more widespread than previously thought, and when those mild cases are taken into account, it is much less deadly. SK has only 52 "serious cases" out of over 6,500, while Italy has almost 9X that number with significantly fewer confirmed cases. If Italy were to test as SK is doing, they would likely find 5X-10X more cases. I'm sure the epidemiologists have some equation that makes the difference even greater, because serious cases are always found, while mild cases are only discovered if the person is tested.
So, the upside is that mortality is lower, but the down side is that a lot more people are actually infected and have a mild or asymptomatic case. This might indicate the R0 is higher than 2.3. CDC's stated strategy from early on has been to slow down the virus, not stop it. Despite having the highest number of infections per capita of any country, SK seems to be winning that battle, or at least they are not completely overwhelmed. The question is, can WE win that battle? Because even 0.6% sucks if the virus is unchecked. Like SK, we need to aggressively attack every outbreak. That and a little progress on the treatment side would help.
IRAN
Mar 4
CGTN Chinese Govt
cases in almost every province. Mistake in not quarantining Tehran also sending people door to door to test. Over 500 people already discharged as cured as interior government officials are demanding real data not fake numbers. Revolutionary Guard allegedly working on vaccine almost ready.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhTCh7qxHAI
Also known as ‘viral force multiplier’.
Maybe these Italy flights will stop, after CDC announcement. Praying so, anyways.
Boston is now a Hotspot thanks to Biogen. And those that attended the conferences are spreading it to other cities.
3 have it at biogen. 60 being tested from marriott
One that we know of so far in Indiana got it in Boston.
He should stay home..but maybe at his age this is one of his great pleasures. Take lots of hand sanitizer. Make it he doesn’t have it
If you look at the outbreak map of the US it is obvious that there will be confirmed cases in almost every state by sometime next week.
I am not a conspiracy theorist on this one, but I am convinced CDC is deeply, stunningly incompetent, and won’t be containing anything, mitigating much of anything, or controlling much of anything until the disease is so widespread that the health care system is totally crushed from sea to shining sea.
I would love to be proven wrong, but that is what I am concluding based on what I have seen so far. They are a day late and a dollar short, reactive rather than proactive—every time.
The press conferences bragging about what a great job they are doing just makes them look even dumber, and is totally demoralizing.
I am one of the ones who has been reading all the posts from the start. Knowing what I know I still hope they end up calling me a fear monger and it’s a nothing burger. Until then I’ll pray and know my family is prepared.
We need to shut down all flights and no travel across state lines of any sort. And shut down the borders.
01:05: China’s National Health Commission reports 22 new cases across the mainland, excluding Hubei province. (Source)
01:05: 74 new cases and 28 new deaths in Hubei province, China.
forget it ! let the young people stay home. They’re infected :)
Patient Zero tested negative while laying in a hospital and is thought to have been shedding the virus.
We have no reliable information even if all that should be tested were tested.
It’s almost better not to test..that way at least people will quarantine.
THey hear Negative then they think all is fine and go super spread it.
The drive-thru testing they are doing is brilliant.
We ought to have triage outside of every hospital. If a patient calls, they can be isolated OUTSIDE and tested and contained until the results are in.
The airlines need to get one of those Ultra Violate R2D2 units to disinfect EVERY plane after EVERY flight. Either that or fog the cabin with some kind of bleach spray. No one over 40 ought to be getting on a plane until we get a good grip on this thing.
My son does contract work at a hospital that does the triage tents throughout flu season, and have left it up for this. I’m sure they need to ramp up the PPE though
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