[LilFarmer]

ITALY

The situation in Italy: March 5, 2020, 6.00 p.m.

POSITIVE
3296
DECEASED
148
HEALED
414

Press conference of the Head of Civil Protection Angelo Borrelli at 6 pm on March 5:
3,858 people who contracted the virus, currently positive 3296, 148 deceased and 414 recovered.

Among the 3,296 positives:
1165 are found in home isolation
1790 hospitalized with symptoms
351 in intensive care

http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioContenutiNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&id=5351&area=nuovoCoronavirus&menu=vuoto

[cgbg]

There is something we can figure out on the Italy numbers that is not shown.

We know that roughly 15% of folks infected require hospitalization.

That means that there are at least (414 + 148) x 7 = 3,934 total cases, very close to Italy’s number for total cases.

Conclusion: Italy is going an excellent job of testing.

Second conclusion: CDC could have used the Italian method of testing and saved several weeks.