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To: LilFarmer

These WA healthcare folks so far do not understand asymptomatic spread, and also think it is spread by droplets. Have these folks not been following what is going on in the world?


345 posted on 02/28/2020 8:20:09 PM PST by LilFarmer
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To: LilFarmer

This was good to know for perspective

80% of cases are mild
Based on all 72,314 cases of COVID-19 confirmed, suspected, and asymptomatic cases in China as of February 11, a paper by the Chinese CCDC released on February 17 and published in the Chinese Journal of Epidemiology has found that:

80.9% of infections are mild (with flu-like symptoms) and can recover at home.
13.8% are severe, developing severe diseases including pneumonia and shortness of breath.
4.7% as critical and can include: respiratory failure, septic shock, and multi-organ failure.
in about 2% of reported cases the virus is fatal.
Risk of death increases the older you are.
Relatively few cases are seen among children.


349 posted on 02/28/2020 8:23:22 PM PST by HollyB
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To: LilFarmer

The woman, 50, returned from South Korea and works in Seattle via Washington State Public Health media conference.


353 posted on 02/28/2020 8:27:43 PM PST by LilFarmer
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To: LilFarmer

“Have these folks not been following what is going on in the world?”

Has anyone? All they know are templates from the past (it’s just an Asian or African thing, throw liquidity at it and goods will materialize in those empty containers, wait until we have enough cases here - then restrict travel).

It’s pathetic. That’s why I BRAG about never having medical training nor a medical background (nor economic, for that matter) - that means I’m actually open-minded and willing to use reports from the field to make my decisions. I was reading Barron’s or something and they said the ‘experts’ were shocked about how bad China is. According to one important index, China is running at 70% of last year. They thought it would be 90%. Right. Shutdown Wuhan and their region, restrict travel everywhere, lock-down 800M people, stop loading ships...and a 10% impact? Right. If anything, I think the 70% number is very high...by my estimate, based on power production (coal usage), they’re only 15% recovered from their Lunar New Year shutdown. It’s hard to see how they can be doing much when their power usage is only slightly above the level needed for residential service only. [however it is trending up, about 5% per week...so some ‘good’ news]


500 posted on 02/29/2020 6:31:26 AM PST by BobL (If some people here don't want to prep for Coronavirus, they can explain it to their families)
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