Not that I fully trust Italy’s socialized medicine. Even if you factor in their percentage, it still hovers around 1.5%. But again, treatment is coming soon. It will likely cut the mortality rate substantially.
Two patients took the drug and were cured in two days. It is very promising.
I don't think the real problem is how many die but how many will get sick and overwhelm the healthcare system. Could be nothing could be something but it's a brand new virus to humanity and it's in the wild.