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To: mrsmith

what does RO stand for?


286 posted on 02/15/2020 4:01:38 PM PST by Taffini ( Mr. Pippen and Mr. Waffles do not approve and neither do I)
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To: Taffini

R0 (say Arrrr Nought) is an estimate of the average number of people the average infected person passes the disease to.


295 posted on 02/15/2020 5:03:34 PM PST by null and void (The democrats just can't get over the fact that they lost an election they themselves rigged!)
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To: Taffini

Ro is a measure of how readily a pathogen spreads. The higher, the faster and extensive the spread.

Pretty good article by the former Director of the CDC, here, with a discussion including Ro:

https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/22/former-cdc-director-tom-frieden-3-key-questions-novel-coronavirus-in-wuhan/

This “spread factor” tends to lower for dangerous pathogens as time goes by, because humans alter their behavior (less travel, quarantines, develop vaccines, better hygiene, etc.) Eventually, the virus additionally can run low on new victims to infect, and THAT slows it down.

Suffice it to say that if a pathogen can maintain an Ro of 2 or better in the face of drastic containment efforts, AND has a significant mortality rate, we have a problem.


304 posted on 02/15/2020 5:29:17 PM PST by Paul R. (The Lib / Socialist goal: Total control of nothing left wort h controlling.)
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