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'They're not gonna let up': Democratic strategist predicts Trump popularity surge with black voters in 2020
washingtonexaminer.com ^

Posted on 02/10/2020 9:50:58 AM PST by Conserv

A Democratic strategist listed off a series of accomplishments President Trump has achieved that will help him with African American voters.

"I'm gonna send this flag up so the Democratic Party — people need to understand this," Jamal Simmons, a political analyst for CBS News, said Sunday on Face The Nation. "We talked to Terrance Woodbury, who's a young African American pollster. He has been saying for months that President Trump has been going very hard at African American men."

Simmons, who worked on campaigns for Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, cited Trump's public friendship with celebrity power couple Kim Kardashian and Kanye West, the extradition of rapper A$AP Rocky from Sweden, and an uptick in federal money given to Historically Black Colleges and Universities as factors that might lead to an increase in the president's popularity among young, black voters.

"They're not gonna let up," he said.

Trump got 8% of the black vote in the 2016 general election.

During his State of the Union speech Tuesday, Trump touted a strong economy and low unemployment numbers, specifically among African Americans.

"The unemployment rate is the lowest in over half a century," Trump claimed. "And very incredibly, the average unemployment rate under my administration is lower than any administration in the history of our country. If we hadn’t reversed the failed economic policies of the previous administration, the world would not now be witnessing this great economic success."

Cameras caught many Democrats sitting and scowling during these remarks.


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To: Conserv

Trump will do better than he did in 16.. but as much as I would love to say he will do better than historical norms, at this point I see nothing on the ground to indicate Trump will outperform traditional norms which is 10 % plus or minus a few points.

Best ever was Reagan who got 14% in 1980.

I do believe Trump offers a strong argument, but that doesn’t mean he will get large movement outside of historical norms.

If Trump pushes hard for school choice, and I mean Really really does something not just talk about it, he may be able to move outside the historical norms... however right now I see nothing on the ground to indicate Trump will be outside the norms. He will almost certainly be closer to 12 % than 8% which would be a 50% improvement over 16, but not anything outside historical norms.


21 posted on 02/10/2020 11:13:21 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: Conserv
DEMS DO IT AGAIN; UNDERESTIMATE MINORITIES.

Just as Ds forever have felt minorities are not smart enough, strong enough to make it without government aid, so too have they failed to realize the traditions of minorities are in stark contrast to their impressions. Namely religion which is prominent in latin countries and with the black community.

The soft bigotry of low expectations will come back to bite those who feel politics is demography.

Do nothing freeloaders, looking for a handout who don't care about advancing their well-being and providing for their families ? Only a tiny few.

The rest --and the greater majority--who've attempted to migrate here, who Ds have courted to bolster their needy and reliable voting base will support the freedoms and self-worth and hope that DJT embodies.

22 posted on 02/10/2020 11:15:08 AM PST by chiller (As Davey Crockett once said: Be sure you're right. Then go ahead. I'm goin' ahead.)
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To: gibsonguy

“Smart move. The women with a very few notable exceptions are a total lost cause just irredeemable.”

************************************************************

Black female’s DNA lead them to automatically vote Democrat. It’s reactionary. There is no decision making. Emotion based decision making is also at play.


23 posted on 02/10/2020 11:38:20 AM PST by Sir Bangaz Cracka (wHAT A HOT STEAMING LOAD.)
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To: bwest

A prophecy a few months ago said that the next POTUS after “The Donald” will also be named Trump. There are three potentials; but Don, Jr. would be my preference.


24 posted on 02/10/2020 11:52:25 AM PST by Tucker39 ("It is impossible to rightly govern a nation without God and the Bible." George Washington)
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To: Conserv

Too many Trumo supporters openly deride black voters as “Amish” or “low on the bell curve”

A black voter sees that and it isnt long before his or her ardor for Trump wanes.


25 posted on 02/10/2020 12:05:56 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Tucker39

That’s precisely who I meant.


26 posted on 02/10/2020 12:18:06 PM PST by bwest
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

The VP’s role is to serve as VP—it is his decision whether to run for the top job after 8 years. I really do like Mike Pence. However, he would not be able to withstand the pressures that the democrats have subjected DJT to. We need another street fighter. DT Junior might be a good choice, but certainly not the only one.


27 posted on 02/10/2020 12:20:42 PM PST by bwest
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To: Don W

You’re not seriously equating Trump’s presidency with the Bush’s, are you?


28 posted on 02/10/2020 12:21:39 PM PST by bwest
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To: Conserv

I don’t know how much of a surge there will be, but Romney in 2012 got 4 percent of the black vote, and President Trump got 8 percent in 2016. I’m sure the president will be in double digits. The question is, how far into double digits?

All the GOP needs is about 15 percent of the black vote to render the Democrats essentially irrelevant electorally (except in certain districts.)

BTW, let’s start that by helping Kimberley Klacik get elected in MD-7. The election is in April.

https://kimkforcongress.com/donate/


29 posted on 02/10/2020 12:58:59 PM PST by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion
Three sitting VP's have narrowly lost Presidential elections in recent decades--Nixon in 1960, Humphrey in 1968, and Algore in 2000.

In the early years of the Republic, the position of Secretary of State was the best stepping stone to the Presidency: 6 of the first 8 Presidents had previously served as Secretary of State. After Van Buren only one more former Secretary of State has been elected President--James Buchanan.

30 posted on 02/10/2020 1:40:09 PM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: Verginius Rufus

Agreed.


31 posted on 02/10/2020 1:53:09 PM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (Socialism is cynicism directed towards society and - correspondingly - naivete towards government.)
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To: olepap
Women in general are a lost cause because they are gullible

A word of warning olepap. Not a great place to make these comments. Number one that generality is not true.

32 posted on 02/10/2020 2:00:08 PM PST by Irish Eyes
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To: bwest

NO to any familial dynasties.


33 posted on 02/10/2020 2:06:16 PM PST by Don W (When blacks riot, neighbourhoods and cities burn. When whites riot, nations and continents burn.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

“Mike Pence has good credentials, to include a stint as a talk radio host, will be about 65 yo in ’24, and is a former governor who attained national office within four years of attaining statewide office.”

I’d like to know why he received an envelope at GHWB’s funeral. That raises questions about his character to me.


34 posted on 02/10/2020 3:07:02 PM PST by Bluebeard16
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To: olepap

Do you think there is a better reason?


35 posted on 02/10/2020 3:28:38 PM PST by kosciusko51
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