Of the 1300 odd cases in Wuhan, 237 are in critical condition.
About 20%.
And about 3% dead.
No health system in the world could deal with that.
https://twitter.com/lookner/status/1220878427726786560
18 % critical. Wonder how many are old or young or male ? Means basically one out of 5 infected have to be hospitalized or they die. Not enough beds. Conditions in China currently show that.
Most medium sized hospitals (300-500 beds) have a couple dozen beds in ICU. Another bunch in intermediate care with telemetry. The rest are med/surg and ortho. With some baby rooms.
And many of those places do not have the physical beds to go to two in a room. Getting the hospital beds would take months.
Add another 50 spots in the ER, and you might be able to get 700 bodies in a hospital.
There is not enough staff. And the wise nurses will stay home. Certainly the janitorial staff and admin support staff are going to weigh the danger and stay home.
Systems will fail ( they need constant attention.)
In a week, it will look like something in Somalia.