I have a relative that worked across the street. Another Army lab, for completely different, boring things. They have a lot of underground stuff.
My guess is they find “something” for those folks to do during the day.
Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions
Jonathan M. Read1, Jessica R.E. Bridgen1, Derek A.T. Cummings2, Antonia Ho, Chris P.Jewell1
Affiliations:1. Centre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom. 2. Department of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, United States of America.3. Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
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Summary
We are still in the early days of this outbreak and there is much uncertainty in both the scale of the outbreak, as well as key epidemiological information regarding transmission. However, the rapidity of the growth of cases since the recognition of the outbreak is much greater than that observed in outbreaks of either SARS or MERS-CoV. This is consistent with our higher estimates of the reproductive number for this outbreak compared to these other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fz7..._3PmysukL/view
@DrDenaGrayson
Having YEARS of experience developing an #Ebola treatment, I was concerned about this #CoronavirusOutbreak from the outset, because this #coronavirus strain is very contagious, causes severe illness, and NO treatments or vaccines are available.
@DrDenaGrayson
Unlike H5N1 “bird flu” (which does not spread easily between people) or SARS (which was spread by only a handful of “super spreaders”), this #coronavirus DOES appear to spread easily between people, even after making the jump from an animal (this is not common).
@DrDenaGrayson
In addition to being highly contagious, this novel #coronavirus can cause a SEVERE infection that can kill even healthy people. It’s rare to see BOTH of these (bad) attributes in the same novel virus. Usually, it’s one or the other.
@DrDenaGrayson
One way experts judge how deadly a pathogen (virus, bacteria, etc) is by the “case-fatality rate,” which is the # of deaths / # infected people.
It’s WAY too early to know what this is, because it takes time for patients to succumb to the infection.
@DrDenaGrayson
Thus far, the case-fatality rate appears to be ~4%...but its’ WAY too early to know what it really is, due to spotty reporting (both of deaths and cases), and because patients are still sick and could die tomorrow, next week, etc., even if no new infections occur.
https://twitter.com/DrDenaGrayson/status/1220856786602930177