Posted on 01/22/2020 4:43:23 AM PST by 11th_VA
An alarming graph shows how fast the Wuhan coronavirus has spread in the past two weeks alone and highlights how soon it could become a pandemic.
The bar graph was posted on Twitter by Cate Cadell, the China correspondent for Reuters, on Wednesday.
It shows that in the past three days the number of infections has risen sharply, as have the number of deaths and the number of countries discovering infected people.
—Cate Cadell (@catecadell) January 22, 2020
It's not clear who made the graph, but the data on it is current. Cadell did not immediately respond to a request for clarification from Business Insider.
The pneumonia-like virus — also known as 2019-nCoV — was first discovered in the central Chinese city of Wuhan on December 31.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
If I’m not on the Cootie alert, please include me in this gloom and doom group.
Thanks
Dave
“Outstanding reason to ban all travel from China for the forseeable future.”
The problem is they will/can fly to Japan or the Philippines or Hanoi and then fly here.
It’s still the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list with a new skin, just like the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list is the “Ebola” ping list with a new skin.
Thanks for the ping.
It looks like there is no multiplier on the vertical axis. The number of cases is less than 300 at this point. We are at the very beginning of this situation.
Bioweapon
I’ve never been “terrified” by a “graph”. Ever.
Like so many viruses, your ping list is evolving into something a little different!
We’ve had a lot of luck preventing upper respiratory infections using these:
https://www.vitacost.com/hyperbiotics-pro-dental-probiotics-for-oral-health
(they’re sold elsewhere too)
One of my kiddos was chronically infected with strep and every other UR infection you can name. Sick all the time. Since we’ve begun using these she hasn’t had strep in nearly 2 years now. And only a couple cases of mild (non feverish) sniffles that passed in a couple days.
I can PM pubmed references/studies to anyone interested.
That’s about 3.5 %. I think it’s more than twice that for the flu.
Point taken, but remember, there is NO VACINE for this Coronavirus ...
They will still be flying on Chinese passports and will require visas to enter the United States. That will be the criteria.
In 2017 to 2018 they estimate the flu in the USA had a 10% mortality rate - so pretty high (I’m surprised). Probably mostly older folks in poor health to begin with. Something like 180 kids died.
” flu in the USA had a 10% mortality rate “
What are you talking about? Morbidity? The mortality for the whole U.S. population is more like .0002.
I had to look up morbidity - the condition of being diseased (I’m not sure I knew that).
The following is what I got off the CDC website. Except reading it again, I’m guessing they are saying out of all deaths during the 16 week flu season, deaths by flu were 10% of the deaths. I was thinking it was 10% rate of those who got the flu. (No wonder I thought it seemed high).
“During the 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. During the past five seasons, the average number of weeks this indicator was above threshold was 11 (range of 7 to 15 weeks). Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018.”
**************************************
Hmm. The following article said there were 90,000 deaths in the USA last year due to flu, with 900,000 being hospitalized - so that is 10%. Although how many millions got the flu and didn’t go to the hospital?
https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/26/health/flu-deaths-2017—2018-cdc-bn/index.html
In the course of a bad but not severe influenza season, about one in ten are infected (morbidity), and, of those, one in one thousand or fewer die - mortality (sometimes a lot fewer, which gives the discrepancy in reported rates). And the overall population mortality is a magnitude give or take lower.
So 10% of the USA population is about 30 million. I saw some wiki thing that said flu hits between 1 million to 45 million people a year in the USA (quite the range!!!, but what does one expect from wiki).
So if 90,000 died from flu last year, with 30 million infected, that is a mortality rate of 0.3 percent.
Thanks for helping me understand this better.
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