Thank you. Bookmarked.
The author makes the solid point that an unlikely disaster (riot, revolution, volcanic eruption, zombie outbreak ) becomes much less unlikely over a lifetime. And it can be hard to see it coming in enough time to make it out, at a time when lots of other people are freaking out.
As an example, if you were a Jew in France in 1935, you might have scoffed at the idea that, within 10 years, you would have had to be prepared to take desperate steps to survive.
It’s that normalacy bias that kicks in.