Byron York
@ByronYork
·
6h
Just for clarity: Steele was not dossier’s source. In Steele’s words, sources were: A: senior Russian Foreign Ministry figure; B: former top level Russian intelligence officer still active inside the Kremlin; C: senior Russian financial official; and G: senior Kremlin official.
Lisa Abramowicz @lisaabramowicz1 ·
Cam Harvey, the economist who first linked an inverted yield curve to economic declines, pinpoints the 3-month/5-yr curve as a key recession indicator once it inverts for a full quarter. It officially finished a full quarter of being inverted yesterday. h/t @Reganonymous
ISABELNET @ISABELNET_SA · 5h Replying to @lisaabramowicz1 and @Reganonymous
As a reminder, the spread between the 30-year & the 3-month treasury yields is one of the most interesting spreads to watch👇 In recent history, a recession occurs about 12 to 18 months after the yield curve inverts. Currently, the 30Y-3M has not inverted (link: https://www.isabelnet.com/one-of-the-best-yield-curves-to-predict-a-recession-is-coming/) isabelnet.com/one-of-the-bes…
