Initech !
Posted on 06/04/2019 6:19:05 AM PDT by vannrox
bkmk
I’m not really concerned about war - civil or otherwise - right now; and I haven’t followed this thread much lately.
But since it’s the ‘prepper’ ping-list, I’m wondering if anyone has posted about the possible repercussions we may face due to the massive flooding and inability to plant crops that are taking place.
What items do people think will be in short supply or raising greatly in price?
Crop (corn)(soybeans):
Ag Source :
https://www.agweb.com/article/crop-progress-preview-how-much-has-been-planted/
The U.S. corn planting pace this year has been one for the record books.
In fact, 2019 marks the slowest pace in USDA records dating back to 1980.
As of May 26, only 58% of the country’s estimated 92.8 million corn acres have been planted.
The five-year average for this notch on the calendar is 90%.
Soybean planting is only at 29% complete on the U.S.’s 84.6 million acres planted.
The five-year average for late May is 66% planted.
How many acres of corn and soybeans were planted in the last week?
The grain markets are bracing for today’s release of the Crop Progress report,
says Paul Georgy, president and CEO of Allendale and an AgWeb.com blogger.
“Trade is looking for corn planting at 68%-70% complete (58% last week, 97% last year and 97% 5-year average),” he says.
“Soybean planting is expected at 40% (29% last week, 87% last year and 75% 5-year average).”
Some areas of farm country and the Corn Belt did have some dry weather over the weekend, says Joe Vaclavik,
founder and president of Standard Grain and an AgWeb.com blogger.
“Portions of Iowa, Illinois, Ohio have been dry for the last three or four days,
although we certainly saw some scattered showers,” he says.
“Drier weather was also seen in some portions of North Dakota, South Dakota.”
Today’s planting progress numbers are a big guessing game, Vaclavik says.
“It seems like that maybe progress was accelerated here over the weekend, so I don't know where the planting number
for corn will come in today—maybe 70%, maybe 75%? I don't know, it is very difficult.”
----------------------------------
Livestock (meat)
News source :
https://www.agweb.com/article/corn-surge-fuels-biggest-meat-selloff-of-19-amid-feed-cost-fear/
"(Bloomberg) -- Shares in meat companies like Tyson Foods Inc. and Pilgrim’s Pride Corp. have been rallying
on expectations of a global protein shortage due to a hog disease in China.
Now a spike in corn and soybean prices is fueling the biggest selloff of the year.
The rally in crop prices -- as wet weather keeps U.S. farmers from planting
-- signals higher feed prices for the animals that the meat companies raise.
Top U.S. meat producer Tyson dropped as much as 5% on Wednesday, the most since November.
Chicken producer Pilgrim’s sank as much as 7%, the most since December.
Brazilian giants JBS SA and BRF SA led declines in the benchmark Ibovespa equity index.
The selloff may present buying opportunities, said Rebecca Scheuneman, an analyst with Morningstar Investment Service.
Crop price gains “will not overcome the margin improvement we expect to see
in protein businesses, because pricing will be so much better with the massive protein shortage”
coming due to African swine fever in China, she said.
Companies with significant U.S. production such as JBS, Pilgrim’s and Marfrig Global Foods SA are most impacted
in any scenario of tighter feed supplies, according to a report by BTG Pactual analysts led by Thiago Duarte.
“We still think the African swine fever impacts (in Asia)may offset all that,” the BTG analysts said.
To be sure, meat companies are still among the best-performing stocks this year.
JBS is up 84%, Pilgrim’s Pride has climbed 63% and Tyson has gained 44%.
China, the biggest hog producer and consumer, is projected to lose 10% of its pork production
this year due to the disease, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
The nation’s imports are forecast record high in 2019.
"That could result in an unprecedented shortfall of pork that will lift global protein prices.
Chicken producers are in particular expected to benefit, as a cheaper substitute for pork.
China’s beef imports are already touching new records.
The disease is spreading to other Asian countries, like Vietnam. "
Every day that a crop is not planted, will generally result in less crop production.
The Ag page cited above, indicated that farmers in the flooded effected areas are looking to change to shorter maturity
seed varieties in order to make up for expected crop shortfalls.
Truth be told, there isn't enough seed of shorter maturing crops around, due to the unexpected, and unanticipated demand.
Many times, farmers will hold back some of their corn from last year, to use as seed for this years crop .., howver,
after silos being flooded, the moist seed has germinated within the silo,
thus the silo has a "Blow-out", and the seed is no longer viable for planting.
The corn and soybean crops are used for plastics, food production, manufacturing, and for forage for livestock.
Initech !
Has there ever been a civil war where the poorest people were the most likely to be obese, generally unused to any sort of prolonged and difficult physical labor, and were generally very well entertained?
Freegards
People have two ways to persuade others - speech and violence. When you deny them the ability to speak, all they have left is violence - and you don’t want that. So let them speak.
Dr. Jordan Peterson.
Any conflict between right and left has been will continue to be used by the government to justify more government, totalitarianism, less liberty.
If there is any revolution or CW it will be a fight against the government. The agencies and bureaucrats will stick with the SQ. A disgruntled military could ride the popular wave like Napoleon.
Well, that’s certainly....exhaustive!
And I’m exhausted just reading it.
G’Nite, TIK :-)
you made my day!!
In the short form :
The cost of grain and forage will go up
and when the cost of forage for beef and chicken will go up
so also will the cost of meat protein come down due to farmers cutting and culling their cost to feed livestock
and then the price for meat protein is expected to rise.
It is the law of "supply and demand", since there is world-wide demand for protein,
while cropland is under water due to flooding.
Gotcha.
Going to the shopping store, to buy lots of canned meat!
Wait for the prices of meat to go down, as farms start to cull their livestock,
and then they over-supply the market,
..then buy !
Timing is everything !
CWII so far is being fought in digital space. Nearly everyone is on social media. Free speech doesn’t exist there and the rules constantly change. I’ve been banned 3 times for posts that were 6-7 years old, I insulted the beloved pedophile prophet. The left has successfully convinced itself and half the country that guns are bad, they couldn’t fight if they had to! The only way they know is the digital fight.
Today it’s banned from social media, tomorrow it’s your credit card turned off because you bought a box of ammo at Walmart. Then it’s lose your business because you refuse to bake a cake. Lose your cell phone service because you called up a buddy to go hunting. Home mortgage revoked because you tithe to one of those evil homophobic churches. You get the picture. The left don’t have to resort to guns.
About the CWII Ping List
The CWII Ping List is short for Civil War II. It is NOT a list of people advocating another Civil War in America. It is a list of people who are interested in the parallels between the Civil War (or War Between the States, if you prefer) and our current situation, or more generally are noting the references to a 'coming Civil War' that are made in the press.
Of course sometimes this is merely a figure of speech, such as "The Tea Parties are fighting a civil war for the heart of the GOP". This would not merit a CWII ping.
On the other hand someone saying something like "The events in California are reminiscent of what happened in Yugoslavia in the period proceeding the Civil War" would merit a ping.
FR rules do not permit advocating for the overthrow of the Republic, and I am not aware of anyone doing so on the list. Still many do see that as the political climate worsens we may be heading in a direction that makes such a conflict all but inevitable, particularly if other avenues for resolving our differences are taken away. Such as widespread vote fraud by leftists making elections meaningless, or a small cadre of judges over-ruling all attempts to end destructive policies over the clear will of the people.
The correct keyword tag for the Civil War II ping list is "CWII". Please Freep Mail me to get on the list
By 2025 the muslims should be at a point percentage wise that they start causing all sorts of trouble. Things such as blowing people and buildings up. Cutting off people's heads. Shooting up malls, the crowds at sporting events, and other places.
There will be no CW II as long as people have jobs, mortgages, car payments, kids in college, kids in school and soccer on weekends.........
Why especially in the South?
While the South has a lot of blacks, much of them are rural blacks, not as prone to violence and hate.
I would think the violence would be mostly in the big cities, especially those with ghettos and slums where a lot of people have no jobs and lots of idle time...
Which will last about 6 months after the next democrat becomes president.
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