Posted on 11/03/2018 3:36:19 PM PDT by KC Burke
In this, I want Fat not Thin.
Prediction
Governors,
Rat Gains: IL, ME, MI, NM
GOP Gains: AK
All others held by current party
Senate,
Rat Gains: None
GOP Gains: FL, IN, MO, MT, ND
56-44, which would be the most since we had 58 of 96 back before the depression.
House,
Current, 240 R (including vacancies), 195 D (including Conor Lambchop in PA)
GOP Gains: MN-1, MN-8, PA-14 (Technically the Lambchop seat, he’s running in a different one)
Rat Gains: AZ-2, CA-49, CO-6, IA-1, KS-3, MN-3, NJ-2, NJ-7, NJ-11, PA-5, PA-6, PA-7, PA-17 (Rothfus v. Lambchop), VA-10
Most recent change is moving RINO Leonard Lance (NJ-7) into the loss column.
229R-206D
That’s more measly for the rats than any House prediction, we’ll probably do a tad worse but I’ll stick with this cause I can’t spend spend any more time on predictions! Rats have a good chance in a dozen or so other seats (and GOP has a handful of other pickup possibilities).
Not a ton of attention being paid to State leg races and downballot statewide offices. We should pick up MN AG (Ellison will lose) and I’m worried about losing the Maine State Senate, other than that I don’t know, insights anyone?
So true Boots. So true
Impy, you missed one that is virtually “called” already by Baris:
AZ1 is a flip to us. Also hearing HUGES is surging in MN and will flip.
FYI, got word that Mia Love is up 4 in her race, and is now running ads with Romney. She should now be safe.
I noticed you don’t have WV as a GOP pickup. I believe everywhere there was a rally there will be good news.
If the GOP currently holds the governor’s office in FL and diSantis wins the election, I would say that’s no change, rather than a “GOP gain.” But I guess that would be nitpicky, and I know what you mean.
The GOP will keep the house with 12 advantage and gain 3 in the senate.
Wow Impy that is a very detailed analysis — THANKS.
I like your prediction so I hope your correct.
My Prediction remains the same epic massive Red wave both in the House and Senate Repubs increase their majority’s two fold.
Commie scum bag rats are totally sunk in this election plus 2020, 2022, 2024, 2026, 2028.
I am prayerfully optimistic. That said, I think the media will highlight every Democrat gain, ignore every Republican win, and even if we hold the House and Senate like I think and pray that we will, the media will concentrate on how the balance has “narrowed,” if it ends up more narrow than now.
Media gonna be media is basically my prediction.
65? There aren’t even that many available districts for the republicans to win. They won 63 in 2010 after suffering defeats in 2006. The dynamics are different in 2018, but at least you are optimistic. If you are correct, I will personally fly to wherever you are and take you out to dinner.
Well, Darth, I am one of your hand wringers, however, I would be the happiest person on the planet if your information is correct.
I’d like Steak and Lobster, thank you.
.
Well, thank you. We are all in this together. Optimistic, disillusioned, Pollyanna, negative, rah-rah, trolling and all the rest.
Keeping a solid majority in both Houses is all that could be wished for historically in this type of mid-term and would go a long way to having a Trump first term a big success.
Either way, Paul Ryan will be gone, LOL.
Agreed. I have a hard time with the idea of people voting against their self interest. I can’t see loosing both chambers on an economy that required a magic wand.
I saw that Real Clear moved Peterson to tossup.
I am worried about Love so that’s good news, hopefully Myth can do something useful for once.
WV is the next most likely gain, hopefully we get it but I’m not prepared to predict we will.
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