BTW, it's hard for me to figure the House. I think we would end up with a gain in seats except for the risk of losing seats in high-tax states where the Tax Bill hurt lots of higher earners. We might lose seats in NJ, PA, IL for example which would otherwise have won.
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FReeQ Cheat Sheet to 60-40 Senate ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ HOLD all incumbent seats, including contested ones like Heller & Cruz. (Should be no problem.) HOLD Flake and Corker seats: state REPUBLICAN DEFEATS AZ McSalley Kyrsten Sinema TN Blackburn Phil Bredeson Then the PROBABLE PICK-UPS: state REPUBLICAN DEFEATS IN Mike Braun Joe Donnelly MO Josh Hawley Claire McCaskill OH Jim Renacci Sherrod Brown MT Matt Rosendale Jon Tester ND Kevin Cramer Heidi Heitkamp Then the TOSSUPS (but "Smart money" says R.) state REPUBLICAN DEFEATS FL Rick Scott Bill Nelson II WV Pat Morrisey Joe Manchin III MI John James Debbie Stabenow MN Karin Housley Tina Smith Finally, we need to WIN at least 1 out of 2 LONGSHOTS: state REPUBLICAN DEFEATS NJ Bob Hugin Robert Menendez MN Jim Newberger Amy Klobuchar Net Pickup: 10 seats. 60-40! Removed from previous: LS says lost cause: WI Leah Vukmir Tammy BaldwinPinging LS just to say thanks for his great work, which is mostly what's in my list, but he is NOT going quite so optimistic (at least officially).
Heller a hold, not on your list.