As I see it, three pick-ups in the senate is on the LOW side. I would actually be disappointed if it was only three. GOP has a real opportunity here to pick up 5-7, which would likely put the senate out of reach (for the Dems) until at least 2022. I think even the WV and NJ seats are in play for the Republicans and very gettable.
My hope is that Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin are in play. We need to retire Sherrod Brown, Stabenow, and Tammy Baldwin.