It is not at all subtle. The notion that Lorena Fuddy was murdered by a frogman is ridiculous.
Worse yet, it is a distraction from other far more likely scenarios. Yes, I suspect it was an assassination project that went off script. Things just happened to work out for the sponsors because the odds were in their favor from the beginning.
Sometimes the bad guys win.
You couldn’t be more wrong. The odds were never in their favor.
What’s happened to you is you’ve been deceived. Not sure at what level, but it’s clear you’ve been deceived.
Let’s examine how often the bad guys win:
Take the scale of eternity, for a better view of things. The bad guys are on the wrong side of eternity. What’s the opposite of eternity?
Never.
It's totally unreasonable to attempt to determine what actually happened by mashing together your unedumacated spitballing of all the likelihoods of individual portions happening.
Aviation crash investigation is clearly not your gift.