When you put it like that, it sounds like exactly what “they” want us to think. A demoralization operation, as the great Yuri Bezmenov termed it, though I doubt he coined it.
Yeah, I know. I’ve said as much. They become angry because:”Look what always happens. You think you know better than my historical experience?”
I now just wait until/if someone asks. And after I tell them, I reiterate: “You asked.”
Probably no impact. Just more thinking I’m an arrogant loon.