Using 2013 turnout data (from last governor election), some firm gave Gillespie a 3 point lead. Most other biased polls have the crappy dem up around 5. Prediction: It will be closer than the media is saying. The dems had to sweat this out in what should have been an easy win.
As I mentioned above, the story stated that heavy absentee ballot counts have been seen. This may be the fix.