Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2017
Bookmark, thanks.
Solar power accounted for 2.1% of U.S. electricity; wind power for 0.4%, nuclear 10.1%, and fossil fuels the rest.
Robots taking the jobs and the brick and mortar retail apocalypse are almost guaranteed to happen. regarding the former, just watch the youtube video, “humans need not apply”.
Regarding the latter, look how your own personal shopping habits have changed. I love Costco and still use it, but they have only a fraction of the items on Amazon. And shipping is free. And there is no traffic. People are just catching on to how convenient it truly is. I expect this to exponentially expand to the point that it reaches a critical mass almost in the blink of an eye. Just like what happens to a small town’s business the day the freeway bypass opens.
He missed the very biggest hype of all: Robot cars for everyone.
10’s of billions now being invested. Once the first hits the road commercially, it will be 100’s of billions.
And they’ll not sell more than 50,000 vehicles over the next 20 years. They forgot the most basic axiom of commerce: Sell what the customer WANTS.
Thanks.
This reminds me of that book in the mid-80s Megatrends. John Naisbitt tracked and logged topics from the newspapers of the day, and used that to predict where change was coming, etc.
We don’t need a newspaper anymore with the way the details are on the internet and is even catalogued, and analyzed, etc. But we have data overload - so this is really helpful in terms of structuring the information.
again, thanks for posting
Excellent article.