I’ve lived down here since 1991.
Broward County used to be a huge retirement population that would commit suicide before voting against FDR’s party. Lauderhill/Inverarry, Ft. Lauderdale and Hollywood were prime senior areas.
Over time the population has shifted to a younger demo with Caucasian families and as a move-up location for Hispanic and Haitian immigrants from Dade County.
The Caucasian enclaves include Coral Springs, Parkland, Weston and the like while the move-up areas are mostly Pembroke Pines and now Hollywood. It has a very large Black population (Haitians are not African-Americans).
Before Hurricane Matthew, Hillary no-showed an event in Hollywood, not because of her health (she spoke in Ft. Pierce the next day) but because only 8 people showed up at the office event she was going to speak to.
When you look at those numbers and you realize that Haitians are a close knit community that fully understands how the Clinton foundation ripped them off you can easily see a swing of about 10,000 - 20,000 in that county alone, which could almost HALVE the Obama winning margin from 2012.
The key question here is those suburban Moms in Coral Springs, Parkland, etc. A number are transplants but it’s also a much larger number of actual home-grown Floridians too. It’s easy to make fun of how few have grown up here but that is now in the past as many of my friends are local born and raised.
We tend to forget that Florida now has a larger population than New York so don’t make assumptions about this voting surge on either side of the equation. We’ll see soon enough.
Look, high turnout in a dem stronghold is never a good thing. However, about the only positive spin (and hope) we can have is that these are the first wave of the die hard, pent up, can’t wait to vote, leftists, and that their numbers will dwindle each day. Therefore, no real inference should be taken from first day voting in tamarac. That is my hope.