“I don’t get the concern about FL. Who cares what polls say?”
Florida’s 29 electoral votes is what the concern is. And Obama won the state twice. When I see Trump running some ads here and I see a poll showing Trump winning the state I will rest a bit easier. If Trump loses Florida, he will lose the election. There is no reasonable scenario that gets him to 270 without Florida.
What I’m saying is, Zero won by 74,000 votes. That’s a flip of 38,000. People have posted GOP registration INCREASES of more than than in just four counties alone. So even if Trump “only” wins 90% of the new Republicans, and EVEN if turnout is at 2012 levels for Cankles (it won’t be) Trump would still win FL easily.