[Crimson Elephant]

And many are oversampling Dems by a whopping 12 percent. To put that in perspective, the Gallup Party ID number is dead EVEN right now.

Even in the depth of the 2008 mess, when Bush was so unpopular, the Party Id gap was 8 or so.

There is no way on earth HRC is going to have a 12 percent advantage in party turnout. If memory serves, even with Obama Romney the gap was only 3 or so in 2012.

So the translation is, Trump is actually likely ahead, and possibly by a healthy margin...even WITH the Dem Convention and the so called “gaffes”.

[TLI]

quick poll check

https://longroom.com/polls/

Just about all the big names are there.

.

[Bullish]

Hillary oh so needs a Ross Perot about now. She won’t win without someone else to split up the vote.

[amnestynone]

James Carville pointed out that some pollsters are literally throwing out some of their polls as they are over sampling Democrats. Carville says that Republicans apparently frustrated by the last weeks developments are slamming down phones and refuse to talk to pollsters. Leaving everything heavily skewed to Democrats for the past weeks.