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A few notes on polls
8/1/2016 | LS

Posted on 08/01/2016 8:27:01 PM PDT by LS

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1 posted on 08/01/2016 8:27:01 PM PDT by LS
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To: LS

Great report!

Thanks for that informative post.

I think Trump will win if he backs off this Kahn guy and let him—not Donald—step in it. This applies for all other “bait” the democrats use to lure him with, at least until November.


2 posted on 08/01/2016 8:37:04 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: LS

Bump


3 posted on 08/01/2016 8:37:55 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
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To: LS

I love me some Larry.


4 posted on 08/01/2016 8:39:19 PM PDT by Lazamataz (Muslims kill people because they're sick of being called violent! They're violent over Islamophobia!)
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To: LS

To take it a step further, how do you know anyone is even being polled at all? Because someone in the liberal cabal says so? We rejected so-callled “climate science” yet we accept any and every poll as if it were gospel.

For all we know they could simply be making stuff up.


5 posted on 08/01/2016 8:39:40 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
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To: LS

What is your take on the USC/LA Times daybreak poll?


6 posted on 08/01/2016 8:40:15 PM PDT by gubamyster
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To: LS
hope you are right...

but the crooks cook the books so it looks like the witch will win, that way no one will point to vote rigging and fraud...

7 posted on 08/01/2016 8:43:55 PM PDT by cherry
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To: LS

Pat Caddell, liberal, professional pollster, thinks Reuters is full of it...


8 posted on 08/01/2016 8:44:36 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: bigbob

“To take it a step further, how do you know anyone is even being polled at all? Because someone in the liberal cabal says so? We rejected so-callled “climate science” yet we accept any and every poll as if it were gospel.

For all we know they could simply be making stuff up.”

I completely agree! What do we know? We know the MSM will do anything in its power to elect cankles. We know the truth is not an important virtue to them. Look at every single headline and how it is written to help Hilary. Really, we have no idea if the polls are accurate or not.


9 posted on 08/01/2016 8:44:47 PM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Trump should just say “After seeing the credentials and history of this Kahn guy, I have nothing else to say about him...That all speaks for itself...”


10 posted on 08/01/2016 8:44:51 PM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: LS
I have been touting the USC-Dornsife-LA Times Poll for some time. They have a very large sample, currently 3200 that will grow to 6000 by November and they poll the same group once a week but 1/7 of the group everyday. They use the daily polling data to calculate a running average that they post early each morning.

Currently Trump is ahead in the poll by about 4 points.

They ask questions to assess the likelihood that the participant will vote and balance their results based on fixed demographic and voting pattern factors.

It's as fair a scheme as I have found at least at this point in time. By the nature of the methodology, changes to the polling results happen very slowly. You don't see the volatility that you see in phony polls like Reuters and NBC/WSJ. Voters change their minds but they don't do it overnight.

11 posted on 08/01/2016 8:45:48 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: MNDude

I have been a registered voter since 1971 and I have NEVER been polled...


12 posted on 08/01/2016 8:45:53 PM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: LS

There are also many adults who never have voted and did so in the primaries because they are inspired by Trump (who understands them—blue collars).


13 posted on 08/01/2016 8:49:30 PM PDT by MHT (,`)
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To: bigbob

That is EXACTLY what I think!


14 posted on 08/01/2016 8:49:55 PM PDT by FrdmLvr ("WE ARE ALL OSAMA, 0BAMA!" al-Qaeda terrorists who breached the American compound in Benghazi)
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To: LS

This concern over the “youngest person” question is silly.
POLLSTERS DON’T GET ENOUGH YOUNG PEOPLE TO RESPOND SO THEY’RE TRYING HARDER.

The CNN/ORC poll omits the 18-34 age group in their internals because they didn’t get enough respondents to meet an 8.5% MOE:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/08/01/2016.post-dem.convention.pdf


15 posted on 08/01/2016 8:49:57 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: InterceptPoint

While it’s dangerous to single out any one poll, I too think these guys are coming the closest to getting it right.


16 posted on 08/01/2016 8:50:37 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: gubamyster

I think it’s the best out there because it’s a daily, rolling poll of a LOT of people.


17 posted on 08/01/2016 8:51:04 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Gallup got of the polling business because its shady.

Today, polling is done to push an agenda rather than give us a true reading of where the electorate happens to be.

Hillary is probably leading. But by 11 points? Doubtful.

We won’t know the true state of the race until after the debates and when pollsters began sampling likely as opposed to registered voters.

In the meantime, expect the polls to be inaccurate because the MSM is using them to sell a narrative not to advance the truth.


18 posted on 08/01/2016 8:51:22 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

I forgot to mention that today’s CNN poll has just 24% Republicans . . . and 48% Independents.

HUH?


19 posted on 08/01/2016 8:55:32 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Remember that the media gets its orders from the DNC.


20 posted on 08/01/2016 8:59:36 PM PDT by Uncle Sam 911
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