I’ve spent a lot of time looking at the Trump vs. Hillary polling data on RCP. What is clear as a bell is that Hillary was doing OK against Trump pretty much from the get-go right up until the end of March 2016.
If you average the 10 RCP polls listed between March 3 and March 31 2016 you find that Hillary was averaging about a 10 point lead over Trump in that period.
That’s a big lead. Trump and Cruz were going at it Big Time and there were lots of negative stories on Trump. Hillary was hardly in the news.
But starting about April 1st it started to move in Trump’s favor and that movement continues. Also Big Time. The Cruz-Trump War is (effectively) over and the GOP is making piece while the Dems are starting to really fret about Hillary’s Electability.
And, perhaps most importantly, Trump was finally getting a professional team together led (IMHO) by Paul Manafort.
So I’m going to keep beating my Obama Plan B Drum. If things turn much further South for Hillary then Obama and the Dems are going to look elsewhere. Getting rid of Hillary would only take about 30 seconds of Obama on the phone with Loretta Lynch. After that it’s all Biden or Bernie or some secret pal of Obama’s.
You have been warned.
It’ll be Michelle. This would be the worst for America. It will officially be the end of America as the dynasty will stay intact. She’d win a landslide.