Excellent analysis and deduction.
Wisconsin is a particular interest of mine, since there's ALWAYS shenanigans going on, influenced in part by its southern neighbor. :)
Yep, when you see papers like the NY Times and the Washington Post running hysterical headlines saying:
“TRUMP MUST BE STOPPED!”
it sort of tells you something about who they actually fear as a candidate. No headlines like that about Cruz. They will, of course, appear if he is nominated.