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No, Trump can't win
The Washington Examiner ^ | April 11, 2016 | Timothy P. Carney

Posted on 04/12/2016 5:30:16 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Agree? Disagree?

I disagree. Trump is down in the polls right now because he's been savaged from the right and the left (ironically, mainly the right at the moment) and that has drug his ratings down and his head-to-head numbers with Hillary. But I think that Cruz would very likely lose because he's a hardliner and while that plays well in caucuses, it doesn't play well with the average American. In fact, Trump may be the only candidate who could defeat Hillary.

41 posted on 04/12/2016 5:43:23 PM PDT by No Dems 2016
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To: cornfedcowboy

And that is why Trump gets my vote. I wouldn’t vote for a nationally popular guy like Ted Cruz who gets around 20% of the vote.

No sir-eee!


42 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:03 PM PDT by dforest (Ted took your money and is laughing all the way to Goldman Sachs)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Disagree, a new NBC poll released today shows HRC at 38%, Trump at 36%. After awhile a backlash against the media will develop and Trump’s numbers will rise. Just my opinion of course.


43 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:18 PM PDT by Kenny500c
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“No Republican has ever won the White House without carrying Ohio, and Trump is looking bad in Ohio. Clinton beat Trump in all three Ohio polls conducted in March, by an average of six points. “

On average Cruz is behind Hillary in OH

“Any review of the Electoral College looks ugly for Trump.”

Any review of the Electoral College looks even uglier for Cruz or Kasich.

“The website “270 to Win” looked at polling averages and found Clinton carrying 260 electoral votes to Trump’s 115 votes, with 165 up for grabs. Clinton’s vote total on the site doesn’t include Minnesota, Iowa, Ohio or Florida, all states where Clinton has to be considered the favorite. If Clinton carried Minnesota, Ohio or Florida — any one of those — she would win. “

Except she won’t win FL, Trump got more VOTES than she did during the primaries, but she will beat Cruz there. If Kasich is VP, then OH is not a problem and PA, MI and NH are all in play.

“Look at every other swing state. In New Hampshire, Trump trails in every poll this year, most recently by eight points. In Florida, Clinton leads by eight in the latest poll and 2.2 percent in the RealClearPolitics average. Clinton beat Trump in the only Iowa poll. Clinton beat Trump by 17 points in the only Virginia poll this year.”

Hillary will win VA, Trump or whoever is the nominee needs to win OH, FL, PA.

It looks really bad for any republican EXCEPT for Trump.


44 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:29 PM PDT by JPJones
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think it’s Baloney. I think Hillary has so many seriously negative issues running along with her in her campaign that outweigh anything Trump has negative against him.

It would be nice if Trump could pull his foot out of his mouth, but then that’s not Trump.

I’m still a Cruz person that will vote Trump if that’s my choice against Satan’s granny, because I know BS when I see/hear it, therefore I use the same BS meter for Trump, and this is what I see. Hillary has serious baggage, and so much of it she can’t hide it, and it’s so bad she can’t hide behind it. What’s Trump got? Nothing the press can make me believe. Go Cruz, and go Trump. Kick butt. May the best man.


45 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:32 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists Call 'em what you will, they all have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: publana

The only whining I see is from Cruz

The guy whines about Trump all the time

Even when Cruz wins, he whines

So yes, Pamper’s Cruzers is an appropriate term

And it is funny, Pampers did market a diaper called Pamper’s Cruisers.......

But I guess that went over your head


46 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:42 PM PDT by arl295
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To: cornfedcowboy

Yeah, sure. Right after Mitt, McCain, Gore, Dole, and a few others.
You really think Cruz will be popular?
Really?


47 posted on 04/12/2016 5:45:42 PM PDT by Chainmail (A simple rule of life: if you can be blamed, you're responsible.)
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To: Pollster1

Let me offer what I think is a fair answer. Trump already has most likely 90-95% name recognition. Most of those folks have an opinion of him. For this reason the polls can be considered fairly legit. The results are very very unfavorable. It would take almost a miracle to change the perception of the electorate.


48 posted on 04/12/2016 5:46:33 PM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump is tailored made for Hillary who is master at playing the victim card.


49 posted on 04/12/2016 5:46:34 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Much the same was said of Reagan when he ran for Governor of California....and later President.


50 posted on 04/12/2016 5:47:09 PM PDT by TomasUSMC (FIGHT LIKE WW2, WIN LIKE WW2. FIGHT LIKE NAM, FINISH LIKE NAM.)
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To: XEHRpa

I have to be honest. I haven’t met one liberal, and there are many that I still have contacts with in the city, who has even remotely considered voting for trump.

moderates and independents he can get. Liberals voting for him is a fantasy.


51 posted on 04/12/2016 5:47:33 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: Kenny

Sure needs to use a lot of words to make a very simple point. Experienced and media sanctioned taxpayerfunded annointed democrats and republicans have delivered nothing but bad laws, world confusion on policy and alliances, monetary policy on life support, and this hack wants to lecture me on coming back for a fourth helping of this crap stew?


52 posted on 04/12/2016 5:48:05 PM PDT by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

MSM picking the republican candidate, again.

Romney/McCain 2016

“Because they’re up in the polls!”


53 posted on 04/12/2016 5:48:17 PM PDT by JPJones
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
A few of Timothy P. Carney's other articles. Gives you an idea of where he leans:
54 posted on 04/12/2016 5:49:40 PM PDT by COBOL2Java (The GOPe deserve nothing more than a middle finger)
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To: Pollster1
The question on Trump is whether he is a clown or a showman. The difference is subtle but important.

I don't think he has a single clue about what he should do if he got elected. He has no ideological core, beyond his unerring belief in the awesomeness of Trump.

I don't know where he goes with that sort of focus - but the ideological wing of the Democratic Party will promise him shiney things and he'll go along, because why shouldn't he go along with the Democrats to get things done. He has no ideological differences with them, other than he wants to build a wall and they don't. They'll concede that point, let him build a wall, while they get concessions from him on how the immigrants can all get here legally.

And Obamacare is very confusing so he'll just go to single payer, and the Dems will convince him that he's getting a great deal because it will mean no more Obamacare. And his worshippers will also think he won that one.

What's important is that he makes deals and gets things done. Stupid things, rotten things, harmful things - doesn't matter.

He's a deal maker. Best since Bob Dole, I'm guessing.

55 posted on 04/12/2016 5:49:44 PM PDT by dead
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To: dead

Others just consider him the frontrunner with the most states and delegates won, by far, along with more than 2 million votes received than any other candidate.


56 posted on 04/12/2016 5:49:47 PM PDT by kabar
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To: TomasUSMC

I wish to hell you folks would quit comparing Mr. Trump to President Reagan. They are not alike in any way.


57 posted on 04/12/2016 5:49:51 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“You can be a boorish bully toward men in ways you can’t toward women.”

Just like you couldn’t question Obama because he is black. If Trump would lose so badly to Mrs. Clinton, how is it that Sanders is kicking her butt and Trump is kicking all the other Repub candidate’s butts. But Kasich is the only one who can beat Mrs. Clinton?


58 posted on 04/12/2016 5:50:52 PM PDT by bk1000 (A clear conscience is a sure sign of a poor memory)
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To: arl295

I’ve read many of your posts. You are either completely delusional are a paid troll. Nothing you say has any bearing on any issue as you have zero credibility.


59 posted on 04/12/2016 5:52:02 PM PDT by publana (Beware the olive branch extended by a Dem for it disguises a clenched fist.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If Trump can’t win, no one from the GOP can.

The GOPe has already tried two loser squishes in a row now, so a third won’t fare any better.

And WAY too many people find Cruz totally despicable, creepy, and/or appearing to be fanatically religious, including many in the GOP, not to mention Cruz has ZERO cross-over appeal; if anything, Cruz has negative cross-over appeal.

I personally know a whole smorgasbord of folks chomping at the bit to vote for Trump BECAUSE he’s a total outsider beholden to no campaign donors or other power players, and yet they would never vote for Cruz in a million years. And the kicker is that many of these people are Democrats, even some who voted for Obama, who are completely sickened at what has been going on and are desperate to vote for a total outsider as they see that as the only chance anything might actually change.


60 posted on 04/12/2016 5:52:18 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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