Posted on 04/01/2016 10:00:49 AM PDT by PJ-Comix
Okay, we know that Ted Cruz needs to win 84% of the remaining delegates to reach the magic 1237 to win the nomination. Since that won't be happening, his ONLY hope is to win after the first ballot at an open (brokered) convention. For him to win you need to believe that the GOPe would be cool with a Cruz nomination.
Sooooo... On a scale of 1 to 10 with 1 being a complete impossibility of a Cruz nomination and 10 being an absolute certainty that Cruz will be nominated, numerically rate Cruz's chances of a nomination after the first ballot at the GOP convention this summer.
Z E R O
the mitten bushie crew have other plans
the new world order globalists will put their puppet up once and if trump fails the 50% +1
which of course mittens did ....but hey wtf he’s their boy...so no contested nomination
..... no idea who they will foist on the rhino party.......
now it they want an idiot then kasich will do....
cruz might be a possibility .... he is enough of a scumbag to fit the bill....
i am sure there are numerous rhinos who can eat from the cesspool and ask for more.......
If there is a God -0
If it’s trump I will unite. If it’s Cruz with 3 primary wins forget it. I’m writing in trump. I hope there are enough of us to get a trump win in the general anyway. It’s happened in Alaska and Connecticut. It can happen nation wide.
7
Freaki Cruz did the same thing. I despise Cruz. I hope something brings him down and I don’t care what it is.
I wanted them to work together after 3/15. I thought it was ok for Cruz to see how he did, but when he got shut out, he needed to get out and let Trump move forward so he could get the majority. Instead, Cruz, with no chance to get a majority, went scorched earth on Trump. Not sure there is a way to work together any more.
Which by the way is why Ron Paul always scared the GOPe at the convention. He was able to play the delegate game very well.
You know if Trump had put efforts into the delegate game he probably would be the nominee because if he game up a little short of 1237 he would win via delegates in subsequent rounds. Ron Paul did it—Trump could have done it too.
7
I was a Walker guy early on and still like him because he’s a true conservative and he has executive experience. But he dropped out so if they pull a here is your nominee surprise BS they will lose big-time.
Cruz/Walker would be a nice ticket though. But I think he may be going with Carley F.
Out of all the people possible to win the nomination right now I’d have to put my money on Cruz. He has better odds of winning than anyone else (that is *IF* he wins Wisconsin). If Trump wins Wisconsin then he will most likely hit 1237 and be the nominee.
There are states where Cruz might get most delegates to side with him starting with the ones he's already won. But his poor showing otherwise doesn't bode well for carrying out a successful convention coup. There are whole regions where Cruz's brand of evangelical conservatism is anathema. Trump, for all his unpopularity with the GOPe, has a much better chance of winning a contested convention. At least he has an argument that he won the most votes.
So I rate Cruz's chance on the second ballot as zero.
“If Trump doesn’t get the nomination, Cruz will find out firsthand how McCain felt about his “friends” in the media.”
I’ve been saying that since the get-go! As soon as Cruz has served his usefulness, the media, and the GOP are going to go after Cruz so thoroughly that Cruz won’t know what hit him.
And judging from how he was so thoroughly marginalized by the media prior to Trump's entrance, I'd say the viability of his candidacy wouldn't last ten days.
A slight chance if the GOPe blocks Trump and the delegates refuse to allow Karl Rove's "fresh face" to be nominated. Then the GOPe might go with Cruz, because of his level of support and to avoid the convention ending with no nominee.
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