IMO, The FL corridor is shakey, the lower South east will probably go with Rubio, only God knows how many of the supporters there just changed parties to vote for him. The south west would probably go with Trump, but there is a recent invasion there of the NE Liberal species from the south east moving from the east coast to the West. At the moment our population is greater than NY or CA, and who knows how many double voters there are here? We have early voting this week, love it, I wonder how many times one can get away with voting? (Not me personally)
FL has a larger population than NY, but CA is twice as large, and Texas is 50% larger.