I’m hoping he can pull in high 30s to 40s in Nevada (I don’t know enough to know if that’s at all likely) but if he could do that it will immediately shatter the latest narrative.
RCP has two polls 39% and 45% for Trump with 20% leads over #2 Cruz. But Boobio is only a point or twe below Cruz, so Boobio has another chance to pass Cruz for #2, but no chance of catching Trump.