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I posted that I think he cannot win - not what anybody else thinks. That is my personal opinion. As far as beating Hillary, think logically. How can a person not polling at the top of their own party beat Hillary - say, versus Trump, who is way ahead nationally (and is actually within the margin of error against Hillary). Fact is, Trump is known and Cruz is not known.

My opinion about Cruz is not based on any particular source other than my own gut. Once the democrats unload on Cruz I don't think he would carry 5 states.

At this point in 1980, Carter was leading Reagan 60% to 31%. CW stated back then that there was no way Reagan could win.

Cruz was down to Trump by as much as 8 points in the final polls before Iowa. Cruz won by 4.

How can a person not polling at the top of their own party beat Hillary - say, versus Trump

Yet Trump - who leads in his party's polls - consistently does the worst in national head to head polls against Hillary. Trump also consistently has the worst favorable's.

Rubio is currently 3rd in national polls. By your logic, since Rubio isn't at the top of his party's polls, he can't possibly win either.