Here in Seattle, we think about the Mount Rainier Surprise.
And, the Pacific Plate Subduction Zone Surprise, which is slowly tightening underneath Puget Sound and our barely above sea level city.
And lately, the Kim Jong-un Surprise, since he has apparently miniaturized atomic weapons and developed ICBMs that can hit the USA west coast.
Yes nice surprises! Glad I left ...
Then there is the scenario of the Yellowstone Surprise triggers the Pacific Plate Subduction Zone Surprise which pisses Kim off and he launches the Kim Jong-un Surprise ... move while you are ahead ...