I no longer take part in any online polling aside from the occasional FR poll. Its all too easy to manipulate from the outside let alone setting them up from the inside.
Back in 04 I always voted for John Kerry in polls to screw with their results and look how it worked out. The liberals were sure the race was over and John Kerry was going to win by a landslide.
More recently in Great Britain the polls showed a majority supporting Scottish independence and a few months ago the polls showed labour winning by a landslide.
Back then I was posting on the AOL politics boards. The liberals were CERTAIN of a victory, just like you say. One of them, a fat lesbian lawyer, composed a song of victory to Kerry and posted it the night before the election.
She vanished after that, LOL.