I disagree with your belief Trump would lose big time. Reason being I never in my wildest nightmares would have dreamed obama would be elected, let alone reelected. The voters out there are really wild and non-nonsensical.
Yes, Trump would likely lose conservative voters big time, but the other crowds out there may pick up all slack and put him in.
No way. Obama was different, being black, and at least had a slim record. Trump would be crushed.