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Hillary Clinton will win the presidency in a landslide
Baltimore Post Examiner ^ | 4-27-2015 | WILLS DAHL

Posted on 04/27/2015 7:13:29 PM PDT by Citizen Zed

In the fall of 2007 during her first run for president, Hillary Clinton was often asked why her name was so polarizing in politics. She had a good answer: Unlike the other Democrats competing with her for the nod, she had a record of withstanding Republican attacks that went back for decades. It had taken its toll on her, of course, but the fact that she was still standing was a testament to her electability.

Today, her campaign is barely a week old, and she’s already endured years of attacks since she emerged as the overwhelming favorite for the nomination in 2016. But she’s not just standing—she’s thriving. Every indicator, from polling to economic fundamentals to demographical analysis, points to her being in the driver’s seat for 2016.

A batch of polling from CNN and Opinion Research point to a landslide if the election were held today, with Clinton’s strongest potential opponent, Marco Rubio, trailing her by 14 points at 55-41. Her edges against the rest of the GOP field are even more lopsided, with Clinton even mustering a 24-point edge over Senator Ted Cruz.

Other polling shows a much more modest advantage for Clinton. Fox News projects much tighter margins, with Clinton only besting her nearest rival, Rand Paul, by 3 points. Quinnipiac also shows some close numbers, with Marco Rubio even coming within 2 points of Clinton.

Clinton is also doing well in battleground states. The 12-point lead that the vaunted Marquette Law School poll found for her over Governor Scott Walker in Wisconsin has to make her campaign feel good right now. Walker is the only GOP candidate not saddled by enormous political baggage and a moribund state economy (New Jersey’s Chris Christie) who has shown he can win repeatedly in a blue state.

What makes these numbers (near-universal, if sometimes modest, leads) so promising for Clinton is that they’re coming up at a time when she’s facing more scrutiny than she has in years. Of course, the media glare and Republican grilling will get worse for her—much worse—as the election season goes on. But now that she’s an announced candidate, she’s shed a lot of the goodwill that voters, including some Republicans, granted her when she spent four years as an almost non-partisan figure at the State Department. She’s been hounded about her email server. And within the last few days (too late to be reflected in these polls) she’s faced questions about donations and speaking fees at the Clinton Foundation.

But her numbers are still resilient, even as every Republican in the field targets her.

“Hillary Clinton eats scandals for breakfast,” Bill Maher gloated last week. He was noting that her numbers are holding steady even as the Republican attack machine revs up. And while I wouldn’t be so sanguine about the potential dangers these stories pose to the Clinton campaign, there’s definitely something to his observation. A lot of pundits are speculating about something called Clinton fatigue, but they’ve only identified two-thirds of the phenomenon. The real issue is fatigue over Clinton pseudo-scandals.

Ever since the early 1990s, when congressional Republicans and talk radio began hounding the Clintons over a real estate deal they made in Arkansas (from which they lost money), Clinton pseudo-scandals have been almost a constant in U.S. politics. Republican senator and 1996 GOP presidential nominee Bob Dole called for an investigation of Clinton over his old, unprofitable real estate deal on the same day the President was mourning the loss of his mother. GOP congressman Dan Burton, in a deranged effort to prove that the death of one of Clinton’s aides couldn’t possibly have been a suicide, summoned a handful of reporters to his ranch, and in his quest for truth proceeded to shoot a watermelon. And the special prosecutor Ken Starr, appointed by the conservative Supreme Court Justice William Rehnquist to investigate Clinton’s alleged scandals, had a curious habit of frequently announcing that his investigation was reaching “a critical stage” just as elections were looming. The malevolent prosecutor enjoyed watching the Clintons squirm, and even ordered that blood be drawn from the President for DNA testing when a cotton swab to the cheek could have obtained the same evidence. But after years of hunting the President of the United States, that vial of blood was all he got.

Special prosecutor Kenneth Starr (Wikipedia) Meanwhile, the economy was booming, with 22 million jobs created in the Clinton years while the stock market tripled in value. But no matter how good things got—no matter how far the poverty rate plunged, no matter how seriously Clinton’s budgets whittled away at the deficit, and no matter how eye-popping private sector earnings became—the rage against the Clintons never seemed to diminish. If anything, it got worse, culminating with an impeachment at a time when Bill Clinton’s approval ratings were surging to the 70 percent mark. In the 1998 midterm elections that were dominated by impeachment promises, Republicans lost seats.

Breathless Republican demands for investigations into the Clintons’ nefarious dealings has become something like an unofficial law of American politics. Their criticisms and accusations barely register because they’re so commonplace, expected, and routine.

Now they’re beginning their barrage again. Maybe they’ll find something this time, nestled in one of the Clinton Foundation’s thousands of donations and dealings, a transaction gone wrong that can really haunt the former Secretary of State. But I wouldn’t put money on it. Republicans will throw everything at her—they always do—but unless it really is a bombshell, it just won’t register with the voters Clinton can’t afford to lose in November. Sure, it’ll send millions of people in some circles into a tizzy—assuming those people can take a break from bleating about Benghazi. But they aren’t the audience Clinton needs to win over, and they’ve never been.

Pundits are talking about Clinton fatigue—but none other than Fox News is out with evidence that’s not an issue. By a 52-39 margin, voters they polled believe that being associated with the Clinton dynasty is a positive. But another dynasty isn’t faring so well: Voters say by a 58-34 margin that the Bush name hurts Jeb Bush.

People remember the Clinton boom, and even more people remember the financial crisis that began under George W. Bush that America’s still recovering from. For a national psyche that first and foremost wants the slow recovery to really accelerate, the Clinton brand seems pretty appealing.

No, Clinton fatigue isn’t a real thing—it’s the product of over-thinking and speculation by analysts. It’s crystallized into conventional wisdom, but just doesn’t factor in regular Americans’ perceptions. Unless of course, Fox News is massaging poll numbers on behalf of Hillary, in which case these Clinton cover-ups sure go deeper than anyone thought!

What Americans are tired of by 2016 won’t be Hillary Clinton, but the conspiracy theories and crackpot rumors that the far right throws at her. Expect more calls to investigate Benghazi, even after the Republican-led House committee failed to find evidence of wrongdoing in their sixth and most recent investigation. They’ll throw everything they can at her, especially if the economy continues to improve.

The bad news is, the outrage-peddlers are a fixture in American politics, and they’ll be out in full force until November, and sadly after. The very good news is, they’re no better at taking Clinton down than they were twenty years ago.

About the author:

William Dahl is a recent graduate of The College of William and Mary, where he majored in Government and studied abroad in La Plata, Argentina. He has worked for community foundations in Argentina and Miami dedicated to community engagement and prosecution for human rights abuses. A native Virginian, he moved to Baltimore in 2013 to join a financial research firm, where he enjoys being able to write on the side.


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: clinton; hillary; hillary2016; readyforhillary
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To: Citizen Zed

You can’t fix stupid.


21 posted on 04/27/2015 7:23:21 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: skeeter
Insane. Utterly insane.

Not a single thought that Hillary might possibly be suffering these attacks because she's a corrupt lying power hungry egomaniac.

How does one even consider reasoning with such defective intellects?


22 posted on 04/27/2015 7:23:32 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp
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To: Citizen Zed

She puts the “tree” back into coun-try ... or maybe it’s the other word ...


23 posted on 04/27/2015 7:23:33 PM PDT by clamper1797 (I'm a Tea Party Conservative ... in my opinion that makes me "Politically Correct")
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To: BenLurkin

The Bill, Hillary and Chelsea Foundation. of course


24 posted on 04/27/2015 7:23:40 PM PDT by digger48
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To: Citizen Zed
Nonsense. The disinformation campaign continues by the useful idiots......marching to the slaughter.
25 posted on 04/27/2015 7:23:58 PM PDT by Fungi (Job 26:7 : He stretcheth out the north over empty space, And hangeth the earth upon nothing.)
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To: Citizen Zed

this pos belongs in prison..... withstood attacks fromt he “great right wing conspiracy” translates to lie, deceived, threatened and possibly killed off enemies and covered up crime with the consent and cooperation of the media / pravda / left wing sympathizers....and total scumbags like bernie sanders who stole docs that showed that clintoon could have taken out obl and prevneted 9/11 but chose not to for fear of his own life... note: people who produce nothing of value and live off the proceeds of productive people...


26 posted on 04/27/2015 7:26:43 PM PDT by zzwhale
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To: Citizen Zed
Hillary Clinton will win the presidency in a landslide

Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!

What's cankles gonna do?
Commute to the White House job from the federal pen where she'll be serving several consecutive sentences?

27 posted on 04/27/2015 7:26:52 PM PDT by publius911 (If you like Obamacare, You'll LOVE ObamaWeb.)
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To: PROCON

Those are good!


28 posted on 04/27/2015 7:27:11 PM PDT by FrdmLvr ("WE ARE ALL OSAMA, 0BAMA!" al-Qaeda terrorists who breached the American compound in Benghazi)
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To: Citizen Zed

Hillary Clinton will go as far as her media lapdogs want her to go. She is one of the most unlikeable people to ever set foot in Washington, DC. The ONLY reason she is where she is now is because of her friends in the media.


29 posted on 04/27/2015 7:27:13 PM PDT by Bryan24 (When in doubt, move to the right..........)
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To: Citizen Zed

and this is from Baltimore which is burning as Hillary tweets about bumper stickers.


30 posted on 04/27/2015 7:28:04 PM PDT by GeronL (Clearly Cruz 2016)
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To: publius911

One more “Ha.” Ha!!!!!!!!!!!!


31 posted on 04/27/2015 7:28:49 PM PDT by Fungi (Job 26:7 : He stretcheth out the north over empty space, And hangeth the earth upon nothing.)
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To: Citizen Zed

Cancel the election...the media said Hillary will win...why spend money...


32 posted on 04/27/2015 7:29:13 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: Citizen Zed

Could very well be. Depends on 3 things:

1. Who we nominate

2. How destructive the GOP Primaries and debates are in a circular firing squad kinda way.

3. If Dims actually turn out and vote.


33 posted on 04/27/2015 7:29:43 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: dp0622

“and the hits against her fatness keep coming.”

That’s hitting below the muffin top!!!!


34 posted on 04/27/2015 7:30:02 PM PDT by Calpublican (No Comprendo)
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To: Citizen Zed

Oh, she could win, but I doubt that it would be by a landslide.


35 posted on 04/27/2015 7:30:10 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Celebrate Holy Week by flogging a banker. It's what Jesus would have done.)
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To: Citizen Zed

I don’t even know if she can win the D primary yet


36 posted on 04/27/2015 7:30:19 PM PDT by GeronL (Clearly Cruz 2016)
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To: Citizen Zed

Yoots in Baltimore rioting and looting in Baltimore fund raiser Hillary campaign 2016.


37 posted on 04/27/2015 7:30:30 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist (BeThe Keystone Pipe like ProjectR : build it already Congre)
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To: Citizen Zed

If she does it will be the biggest case of vote fraud ever!

IN THE PRIMARY!!!!


38 posted on 04/27/2015 7:30:43 PM PDT by G Larry (Obama Hates America, Israel, Capitalism, Freedom, and Christianity.)
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To: Citizen Zed

.
>> “He has worked for community foundations in Argentina and Miami dedicated to community engagement and prosecution for human rights abuses” <<

.
IOW, he has never held down a real job before, and is just a street agitator like Obama.

.


39 posted on 04/27/2015 7:31:42 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: skeeter

“How does one even consider reasoning with such defective intellects?”

You start with a baseball bat upside their head to get their attention.

Once you have their attention then you proceed to reason with them.


40 posted on 04/27/2015 7:32:42 PM PDT by IMR 4350
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